nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. panthers @ commanders week 6, 2001

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

CAR logo
CARPanthers
1-4
14
TBD
FedExField
71°F
7 mph
17
WASCommanders
0-5
WAS logo
TBD
FedExField
71°F
7 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Panthers
7
0
0
7
0
14
Commanders
0
0
0
8
3
11

Game Statistics

General
Panthers logo
Commanders logo
Total Yards
342
443
Total Plays
61
59
Yards / Play
5.6
7.5
EPA / Play
-0.12
-0.10
Passing Yards
218
345
Comp/Att
24/35(69%)
17/30(57%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
11.5
EPA / Pass
-0.39
+0.27
Rushing Yards
124
98
Rush Attempts
25
28
Yards / Rush
5.0
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.09
-0.31
Downs & Conversions
Panthers logo
Commanders logo
1st Downs
19
16
Passing 1st downs
11
12
Rushing 1st downs
7
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
33%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Panthers logo
Commanders logo
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
4
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-19.25
-6.57
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-8
-1
Sack EPA
-1.54
-0.83
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
51
50
Penalty EPA
-5.72
-4.64

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
CAR logo
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Panthers Offense vs Commanders Defense
Panthers logo
Commanders logo

Total

Points / Game
29
12
Yards / Game
30
10
Passing Yards / Game
27
9
Rushing Yards / Game
29
19

EPA

EPA / Play
30
11
EPA / Pass
30
9
EPA / Rush
30
19

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
4
17
Interceptions / Game
25
6
Fumbles / Game
24
12
Turnover EPA / Game
4
17

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
30
12
4th Down Efficiency
30
6
RZ Efficiency
14
6
Commanders Offense vs Panthers Defense
Commanders logo
Panthers logo

Total

Points / Game
28
28
Yards / Game
28
31
Passing Yards / Game
28
18
Rushing Yards / Game
8
31

EPA

EPA / Play
27
20
EPA / Pass
27
25
EPA / Rush
12
21

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
20
Interceptions / Game
4
3
Fumbles / Game
19
23
Turnover EPA / Game
21
23

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
27
4th Down Efficiency
24
31
RZ Efficiency
25
21

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CAR logo

Panthers

4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/27
17
W
W
P
12/03
13
W
W
P
12/10
-1
L
W
P
12/17
8
W
L
P
12/24
-43
L
L
P
09/09
11
W
W
P
09/23
-8
L
L
P
09/30
-21
L
L
P
10/07
-10
L
L
P
10/14
-2
L
W
P
WAS logo

Commanders

1-9
SU
2-7-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/26
-3
L
L
P
12/03
-2
L
L
P
12/10
-19
L
L
P
12/16
-21
L
L
P
12/24
17
W
W
P
09/09
-27
L
L
P
09/24
-37
L
L
P
09/30
-32
L
L
P
10/07
-14
L
P
P
10/15
-2
L
W
P