CARPanthers
0-2
7
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
021
DALCowboys
1-1
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
0
7
0
0
7
Cowboys
0
0
10
5
15
Spread
-8.5
Total
UNDER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
271
451
Total Plays
52
68
Yards / Play
5.2
6.6
EPA / Play
-0.25
+0.02
Passing Yards
198
237
Comp/Att
22/33(67%)
22/33(67%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
7.2
EPA / Pass
-0.33
+0.16
Rushing Yards
73
214
Rush Attempts
16
33
Yards / Rush
4.6
6.5
EPA / Rush
+0.06
+0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
24
Passing 1st downs
10
12
Rushing 1st downs
5
10
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
13%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
1
5
3rd Down Attempts
8
13
Red Zone %
NaN%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
--
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-13.99
--
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-22
-18
Sack EPA
-6.90
-2.93
Penalties
6
9
Penalty Yards
60
80
Penalty EPA
-6.70
-9.71
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-10.5
Current
-8.5
Model
-8.5
Win Probability
Market76.8%
Model76.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+207
Home nfelo
1,588
Away nfelo
1,498
Home Field
+95.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+21.0
Home QB Adjustment
+7.3
Away QB Adjustment
-13.6
Market Regression
-39.5
Final Difference
207.9
Model Spread
-8.5
Quarterbacks
J. Delhomme
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-13.6
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+7.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
3
Yards / Game
19
10
Passing Yards / Game
22
23
Rushing Yards / Game
3
4
EPA
EPA / Play
22
8
EPA / Pass
22
17
EPA / Rush
8
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
13
Interceptions / Game
28
27
Fumbles / Game
13
5
Turnover EPA / Game
9
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
3
4th Down Efficiency
21
8
RZ Efficiency
18
26
Cowboys Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
9
Yards / Game
2
8
Passing Yards / Game
2
3
Rushing Yards / Game
6
23
EPA
EPA / Play
10
6
EPA / Pass
7
4
EPA / Rush
9
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
18
Interceptions / Game
3
6
Fumbles / Game
12
2
Turnover EPA / Game
29
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
6
4th Down Efficiency
31
21
RZ Efficiency
17
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
2-0-8
O/U
Cowboys
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
2-0-8
O/U