CARPanthers
2-8
30
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
36°F
2 mph
22
PHIEagles
3-7
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
36°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
14
0
7
9
30
Eagles
3
12
7
0
22
Spread
-3
Total
OVER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
398
311
Total Plays
65
49
Yards / Play
6.1
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.17
-0.01
Passing Yards
289
107
Comp/Att
18/28(64%)
16/22(73%)
Yards / Pass
10.3
4.9
EPA / Pass
+0.54
-0.10
Rushing Yards
109
204
Rush Attempts
35
26
Yards / Rush
3.1
7.8
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
18
Passing 1st downs
12
4
Rushing 1st downs
10
12
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
50%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
6
2
3rd Down Attempts
12
8
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
3
Turnover EPA
--
-12.31
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-17
-12
Sack EPA
-2.70
-1.93
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
101
30
Penalty EPA
-7.94
-2.48
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model53.2%
Spread Pick
Eagles+3.0
Expected Value
+8.4%
Cover Probability
53.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+15
Home nfelo
1,477
Away nfelo
1,438
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-86.6
Home QB Adjustment
-94.9
Away QB Adjustment
-8.3
Market Regression
-12.9
Final Difference
-22.5
Model Spread
+1.5
Quarterbacks
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
-8.3
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-94.9
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
29
Yards / Game
13
14
Passing Yards / Game
11
3
Rushing Yards / Game
9
21
EPA
EPA / Play
12
29
EPA / Pass
11
31
EPA / Rush
6
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
5
Interceptions / Game
7
30
Fumbles / Game
7
26
Turnover EPA / Game
25
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
27
4th Down Efficiency
27
1
RZ Efficiency
10
19
Eagles Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
18
Yards / Game
17
10
Passing Yards / Game
6
21
Rushing Yards / Game
13
13
EPA
EPA / Play
27
22
EPA / Pass
24
16
EPA / Rush
27
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
15
Interceptions / Game
14
23
Fumbles / Game
32
3
Turnover EPA / Game
1
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
7
4th Down Efficiency
10
20
RZ Efficiency
29
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Eagles
3-7
SU
2-8
ATS
4-6
O/U