CARPanthers
-
18
TBD
MetLife Stadium
64°F
10 mph
31
NYGGiants
-
TBD
MetLife Stadium
64°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
3
13
0
0
16
Giants
7
7
10
7
31
Spread
-5.5
Total
OVER
40.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
237
376
Total Plays
63
67
Yards / Play
3.8
5.6
EPA / Play
-0.32
-0.07
Passing Yards
148
258
Comp/Att
14/35(40%)
20/30(67%)
Yards / Pass
4.2
8.6
EPA / Pass
-0.45
+0.15
Rushing Yards
89
118
Rush Attempts
24
36
Yards / Rush
3.7
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.31
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
21
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
2
9
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
47%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
8
5
3rd Down Attempts
17
14
Red Zone %
20%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
4
Interceptions
3
3
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-22.24
-14.54
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-34
-5
Sack EPA
-8.36
-1.35
Penalties
7
9
Penalty Yards
63
95
Penalty EPA
-4.36
-6.35
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-5.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market68.0%
Model68.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+116
Home nfelo
1,526
Away nfelo
1,504
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+10.0
Home QB Adjustment
+5.0
Away QB Adjustment
-5.0
Market Regression
-19.0
Final Difference
130.9
Model Spread
-5.5
Quarterbacks
M. Moore
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
-5.0
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+5.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
17
Yards / Game
32
7
Passing Yards / Game
30
13
Rushing Yards / Game
12
8
EPA
EPA / Play
32
3
EPA / Pass
32
3
EPA / Rush
32
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
31
Interceptions / Game
27
14
Fumbles / Game
30
1
Turnover EPA / Game
4
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
1
4th Down Efficiency
18
21
RZ Efficiency
32
18
Giants Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
25
Yards / Game
4
17
Passing Yards / Game
32
21
Rushing Yards / Game
6
23
EPA
EPA / Play
21
17
EPA / Pass
14
12
EPA / Rush
27
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
2
Interceptions / Game
31
11
Fumbles / Game
31
10
Turnover EPA / Game
1
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
14
4th Down Efficiency
32
12
RZ Efficiency
11
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
6-4
SU
8-2
ATS
3-7
O/U
Giants
3-7
SU
2-8
ATS
7-3
O/U