CARPanthers
0-1
16
TBD
MetLife Stadium
70°F
019
NYGGiants
1-0
TBD
MetLife Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
0
6
7
3
16
Giants
6
0
7
6
19
Spread
+1
Total
UNDER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
275
265
Total Plays
54
70
Yards / Play
5.1
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.14
-0.08
Passing Yards
129
162
Comp/Att
14/29(48%)
22/34(65%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
4.8
EPA / Pass
-0.35
-0.08
Rushing Yards
146
103
Rush Attempts
23
33
Yards / Rush
6.3
3.1
EPA / Rush
+0.33
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
18
Passing 1st downs
7
8
Rushing 1st downs
7
8
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
17%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
2
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
18
Red Zone %
25%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-9.08
--
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-16
-14
Sack EPA
-3.04
-4.45
Penalties
5
8
Penalty Yards
38
62
Penalty EPA
-4.41
-7.05
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-1.0
Model
+1.0
Win Probability
Market52.3%
Model47.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+48
Home nfelo
1,373
Away nfelo
1,390
Home Field
+50.5
Base HFA
+37.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.1
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+13.9
Home QB Adjustment
+6.9
Away QB Adjustment
-6.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
17.5
Model Spread
-1.0
Quarterbacks
B. Mayfield
Proj. Value
+3.0
Team Elo Adj
-6.9
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+6.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
22
Yards / Game
29
25
Passing Yards / Game
30
2
Rushing Yards / Game
10
28
EPA
EPA / Play
20
31
EPA / Pass
24
21
EPA / Rush
9
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
5
Interceptions / Game
15
32
Fumbles / Game
7
3
Turnover EPA / Game
19
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
5
4th Down Efficiency
7
29
RZ Efficiency
12
10
Giants Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
17
Yards / Game
19
22
Passing Yards / Game
25
30
Rushing Yards / Game
6
18
EPA
EPA / Play
8
15
EPA / Pass
17
23
EPA / Rush
3
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
24
Interceptions / Game
1
24
Fumbles / Game
10
20
Turnover EPA / Game
32
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
23
4th Down Efficiency
16
9
RZ Efficiency
5
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
1-9
SU
1-9
ATS
7-3
O/U
Giants
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
2-8
O/U