CARPanthers
6-8
41
TBD
Giants Stadium
50°F
12 mph
9
NYGGiants
8-6
TBD
Giants Stadium
50°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
3
21
10
7
41
Giants
0
0
3
6
9
Spread
+8.5
Total
OVER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
416
317
Total Plays
67
67
Yards / Play
6.2
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.47
-0.10
Passing Yards
169
257
Comp/Att
15/20(75%)
29/44(66%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
5.8
EPA / Pass
+0.76
-0.14
Rushing Yards
247
60
Rush Attempts
46
19
Yards / Rush
5.4
3.2
EPA / Rush
+0.27
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
22
Passing 1st downs
10
16
Rushing 1st downs
13
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
67%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
10
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-9.20
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-2
-39
Sack EPA
-0.96
-5.93
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
20
29
Penalty EPA
-1.70
-4.51
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-8.5
Model
-8.5
Win Probability
Market76.8%
Model76.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+207
Home nfelo
1,600
Away nfelo
1,515
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+37.1
Home QB Adjustment
+25.8
Away QB Adjustment
-11.3
Market Regression
+36.9
Final Difference
207.9
Model Spread
-8.5
Quarterbacks
M. Moore
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
-11.3
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+25.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
30
Yards / Game
19
13
Passing Yards / Game
22
13
Rushing Yards / Game
3
13
EPA
EPA / Play
22
30
EPA / Pass
22
23
EPA / Rush
8
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
20
Interceptions / Game
28
22
Fumbles / Game
13
12
Turnover EPA / Game
9
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
16
4th Down Efficiency
21
27
RZ Efficiency
18
32
Giants Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
9
Yards / Game
9
8
Passing Yards / Game
6
3
Rushing Yards / Game
17
23
EPA
EPA / Play
8
6
EPA / Pass
8
4
EPA / Rush
16
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
18
Interceptions / Game
10
6
Fumbles / Game
30
2
Turnover EPA / Game
12
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
6
4th Down Efficiency
9
21
RZ Efficiency
20
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
3-7
O/U
Giants
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
7-3
O/U