CARPanthers
2-13
0
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
56°F
8 mph
26
JAXJaguars
8-7
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
56°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
0
0
0
0
0
Jaguars
3
6
10
7
26
Spread
-3.5
Total
UNDER
38
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
124
317
Total Plays
53
62
Yards / Play
2.3
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.49
+0.07
Passing Yards
67
162
Comp/Att
19/32(59%)
17/24(71%)
Yards / Pass
2.1
6.8
EPA / Pass
-0.67
+0.22
Rushing Yards
57
155
Rush Attempts
15
35
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
7
16
Passing 1st downs
5
9
Rushing 1st downs
2
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
8%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
1
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
NaN%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
--
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.84
--
Sacks
6
3
Sack Yards
-45
-16
Sack EPA
-11.66
-3.24
Penalties
3
1
Penalty Yards
24
--
Penalty EPA
-2.48
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
-9.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model66.4%
Spread Pick
Jaguars-3.5
Expected Value
+2.0%
Cover Probability
53.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+151
Home nfelo
1,506
Away nfelo
1,366
Home Field
+45.8
Base HFA
+45.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-35.2
Home QB Adjustment
-62.2
Away QB Adjustment
-27.0
Market Regression
-95.2
Final Difference
118.2
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
B. Young
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-27.0
C. Beathard
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-62.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
16
Yards / Game
32
19
Passing Yards / Game
28
20
Rushing Yards / Game
20
9
EPA
EPA / Play
29
14
EPA / Pass
30
11
EPA / Rush
18
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
18
Interceptions / Game
6
12
Fumbles / Game
22
13
Turnover EPA / Game
11
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
8
4th Down Efficiency
21
17
RZ Efficiency
21
16
Jaguars Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
29
Yards / Game
12
3
Passing Yards / Game
22
1
Rushing Yards / Game
23
23
EPA
EPA / Play
15
27
EPA / Pass
19
17
EPA / Rush
28
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
2
Interceptions / Game
19
29
Fumbles / Game
31
32
Turnover EPA / Game
7
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
14
4th Down Efficiency
27
31
RZ Efficiency
21
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
2-8
SU
4-5-1
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Jaguars
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U