CARPanthers
4-6
6
TBD
Giants Stadium
53°F
9 mph
17
NYJJets
4-6
TBD
Giants Stadium
53°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
0
3
0
3
6
Jets
1
7
0
3
11
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
179
283
Total Plays
62
60
Yards / Play
2.9
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.39
-0.24
Passing Yards
104
144
Comp/Att
14/34(41%)
13/18(72%)
Yards / Pass
3.1
8.0
EPA / Pass
-0.64
-0.27
Rushing Yards
75
139
Rush Attempts
25
39
Yards / Rush
3.0
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.06
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
16
Passing 1st downs
6
7
Rushing 1st downs
4
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
25%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
13
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
3
Interceptions
4
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-16.39
-11.90
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-26
-10
Sack EPA
-5.33
-3.50
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
30
24
Penalty EPA
-3.77
-3.69
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+67
Home nfelo
1,500
Away nfelo
1,503
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-14.3
Home QB Adjustment
-24.5
Away QB Adjustment
-10.2
Market Regression
+22.8
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
J. Delhomme
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-10.2
M. Sanchez
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-24.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
1
Yards / Game
19
1
Passing Yards / Game
22
2
Rushing Yards / Game
3
7
EPA
EPA / Play
22
1
EPA / Pass
22
1
EPA / Rush
8
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
26
Interceptions / Game
28
14
Fumbles / Game
13
18
Turnover EPA / Game
9
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
1
4th Down Efficiency
21
3
RZ Efficiency
18
5
Jets Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
9
Yards / Game
20
8
Passing Yards / Game
32
3
Rushing Yards / Game
1
23
EPA
EPA / Play
20
6
EPA / Pass
25
4
EPA / Rush
6
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
18
Interceptions / Game
27
6
Fumbles / Game
17
2
Turnover EPA / Game
21
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
6
4th Down Efficiency
1
21
RZ Efficiency
16
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Jets
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
5-4-1
O/U