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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. panthers @ packers week 11, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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CAR logo
CARPanthers
4-5
17
TBD
Lambeau Field
42°F
10 mph
31
GBPackers
8-1
GB logo
TBD
Lambeau Field
42°F
10 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
3
0
7
7
17
Packers
1
14
7
3
25

Game Statistics

General
Panthers logo
Packers logo
Total Yards
382
317
Total Plays
68
58
Yards / Play
5.6
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.09
+0.12
Passing Yards
251
214
Comp/Att
19/37(51%)
22/30(73%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
7.1
EPA / Pass
-0.15
+0.21
Rushing Yards
131
103
Rush Attempts
29
27
Yards / Rush
4.5
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.17
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
Panthers logo
Packers logo
1st Downs
21
18
Passing 1st downs
13
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
36%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Panthers logo
Packers logo
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-11.91
--
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-7
-4
Sack EPA
-3.99
-1.53
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
25
75
Penalty EPA
-3.25
-4.99

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
CAR logo
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Panthers Offense vs Packers Defense
Panthers logo
Packers logo

Total

Points / Game
26
7
Yards / Game
29
10
Passing Yards / Game
30
14
Rushing Yards / Game
14
12

EPA

EPA / Play
27
11
EPA / Pass
23
8
EPA / Rush
21
16

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
2
30
Interceptions / Game
19
17
Fumbles / Game
19
30
Turnover EPA / Game
25
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
3
4th Down Efficiency
19
4
RZ Efficiency
18
9
Packers Offense vs Panthers Defense
Packers logo
Panthers logo

Total

Points / Game
4
16
Yards / Game
2
15
Passing Yards / Game
16
1
Rushing Yards / Game
19
18

EPA

EPA / Play
5
17
EPA / Pass
5
18
EPA / Rush
20
7

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
18
16
Interceptions / Game
12
24
Fumbles / Game
21
3
Turnover EPA / Game
29
20

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
25
4th Down Efficiency
15
12
RZ Efficiency
8
16

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CAR logo

Panthers

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/31
10
W
W
P
09/09
14
W
W
P
09/16
-13
L
L
P
09/23
7
W
W
P
09/30
-13
L
L
P
10/07
3
W
W
P
10/14
15
W
W
P
10/28
-24
L
L
P
11/04
-13
L
L
P
11/11
-7
L
L
P
GB logo

Packers

9-1
SU
8-1-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/31
19
W
W
P
09/09
3
W
W
P
09/16
22
W
W
P
09/23
7
W
W
P
09/30
7
W
W
P
10/07
-7
L
L
P
10/14
3
W
P
P
10/29
6
W
W
P
11/04
11
W
W
P
11/11
34
W
W
P