CARPanthers
0-2
36
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
022
OAKRaiders
1-1
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
7
14
6
9
36
Raiders
7
0
0
15
22
Spread
+5.5
Total
OVER
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
437
333
Total Plays
71
60
Yards / Play
6.2
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.21
-0.10
Passing Yards
306
278
Comp/Att
26/38(68%)
27/41(66%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.33
+0.03
Rushing Yards
131
55
Rush Attempts
31
16
Yards / Rush
4.2
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.03
-0.39
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
20
Passing 1st downs
15
15
Rushing 1st downs
8
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
42%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
60%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-5.13
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-13
-20
Sack EPA
-3.36
-4.36
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
51
54
Penalty EPA
-5.27
-6.31
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-5.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market68.0%
Model68.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+135
Home nfelo
1,486
Away nfelo
1,349
Home Field
+55.2
Base HFA
+46.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+8.4
Net QB Adjustment
-57.4
Home QB Adjustment
-0.6
Away QB Adjustment
+56.8
Market Regression
+7.1
Final Difference
130.9
Model Spread
-5.5
Quarterbacks
A. Dalton
Proj. Value
-1.9
Team Elo Adj
+56.8
G. Minshew
Proj. Value
-2.0
Team Elo Adj
-0.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
25
Yards / Game
29
12
Passing Yards / Game
30
27
Rushing Yards / Game
16
12
EPA
EPA / Play
24
12
EPA / Pass
28
26
EPA / Rush
9
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
9
Interceptions / Game
22
22
Fumbles / Game
13
31
Turnover EPA / Game
13
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
17
4th Down Efficiency
26
31
RZ Efficiency
7
22
Raiders Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
32
Yards / Game
27
32
Passing Yards / Game
9
21
Rushing Yards / Game
32
32
EPA
EPA / Play
31
32
EPA / Pass
24
31
EPA / Rush
32
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
21
Interceptions / Game
26
25
Fumbles / Game
29
19
Turnover EPA / Game
3
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
32
4th Down Efficiency
16
20
RZ Efficiency
26
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Raiders
5-5
SU
7-2-1
ATS
5-5
O/U