CARPanthers
1-4
10
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
024
LARRams
2-3
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
3
1
0
0
4
Rams
0
7
10
7
24
Spread
-10
Total
UNDER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
203
360
Total Plays
44
63
Yards / Play
4.6
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.38
-0.03
Passing Yards
110
249
Comp/Att
13/21(62%)
26/33(79%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
7.5
EPA / Pass
-0.62
+0.09
Rushing Yards
93
111
Rush Attempts
21
29
Yards / Rush
4.4
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
8
22
Passing 1st downs
5
16
Rushing 1st downs
3
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
20%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
2
6
3rd Down Attempts
10
12
Red Zone %
0%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-6.36
-8.08
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-9
-4
Sack EPA
-2.23
-2.28
Penalties
3
7
Penalty Yards
30
49
Penalty EPA
-3.84
-4.95
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-10.0
Model
-10.0
Win Probability
Market79.5%
Model79.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+256
Home nfelo
1,537
Away nfelo
1,391
Home Field
+59.6
Base HFA
+39.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.6
Time Adj
+7.0
Net QB Adjustment
+50.4
Home QB Adjustment
-16.0
Away QB Adjustment
-66.4
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
235.4
Model Spread
-10.0
Quarterbacks
P. Walker
Proj. Value
-3.7
Team Elo Adj
-66.4
Value
Ptile
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
-16.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
20
Yards / Game
29
18
Passing Yards / Game
30
11
Rushing Yards / Game
10
13
EPA
EPA / Play
20
19
EPA / Pass
24
26
EPA / Rush
9
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
3
Interceptions / Game
15
7
Fumbles / Game
7
30
Turnover EPA / Game
19
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
21
4th Down Efficiency
7
31
RZ Efficiency
12
1
Rams Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
17
Yards / Game
32
22
Passing Yards / Game
26
30
Rushing Yards / Game
26
18
EPA
EPA / Play
27
15
EPA / Pass
27
23
EPA / Rush
19
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
24
Interceptions / Game
22
24
Fumbles / Game
11
20
Turnover EPA / Game
4
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
23
4th Down Efficiency
1
9
RZ Efficiency
14
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
1-9
SU
1-9
ATS
5-5
O/U
Rams
6-4
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U