CARPanthers
2-1
10
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
78°F
4 mph
38
BALRavens
2-1
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
78°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
0
7
3
0
10
Ravens
0
21
7
10
38
Spread
-3
Total
OVER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
315
454
Total Plays
62
61
Yards / Play
5.1
7.4
EPA / Play
-0.01
+0.46
Passing Yards
248
--
Comp/Att
20/34(59%)
22/31(71%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
--
EPA / Pass
+0.44
+0.85
Rushing Yards
67
127
Rush Attempts
26
30
Yards / Rush
2.6
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.50
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
25
Passing 1st downs
16
15
Rushing 1st downs
2
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
67%
77%
3rd Down Conversions
10
10
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.27
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-20
--
Sack EPA
-2.90
--
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
59
40
Penalty EPA
-9.11
-2.96
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+19
Home nfelo
1,514
Away nfelo
1,500
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-78.6
Home QB Adjustment
+0.7
Away QB Adjustment
+79.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+79.3
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+0.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
7
Yards / Game
15
13
Passing Yards / Game
20
27
Rushing Yards / Game
7
3
EPA
EPA / Play
17
13
EPA / Pass
19
23
EPA / Rush
11
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
32
Interceptions / Game
14
21
Fumbles / Game
14
9
Turnover EPA / Game
12
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
17
4th Down Efficiency
10
11
RZ Efficiency
25
2
Ravens Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
20
Yards / Game
12
6
Passing Yards / Game
30
19
Rushing Yards / Game
9
11
EPA
EPA / Play
5
16
EPA / Pass
6
14
EPA / Rush
13
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
14
Interceptions / Game
10
15
Fumbles / Game
7
4
Turnover EPA / Game
26
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
21
4th Down Efficiency
5
14
RZ Efficiency
14
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
7-3
SU
4-5-1
ATS
2-8
O/U
Ravens
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
6-4
O/U