CARPanthers
5-1
23
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
020
NOSaints
3-4
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Panthers
3
7
3
7
3
23
Saints
0
17
0
3
0
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
368
294
Total Plays
67
66
Yards / Play
5.5
4.5
EPA / Play
+0.03
-0.08
Passing Yards
145
190
Comp/Att
12/27(44%)
21/34(62%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
5.6
EPA / Pass
+0.02
-0.16
Rushing Yards
223
104
Rush Attempts
39
29
Yards / Rush
5.7
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.15
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
19
Passing 1st downs
8
14
Rushing 1st downs
10
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
36%
17%
3rd Down Conversions
5
2
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
40%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-12.74
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-3
-11
Sack EPA
-0.24
-7.01
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
--
43
Penalty EPA
--
-5.75
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
14
Yards / Game
14
18
Passing Yards / Game
27
16
Rushing Yards / Game
7
27
EPA
EPA / Play
16
15
EPA / Pass
14
14
EPA / Rush
24
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
15
Interceptions / Game
8
20
Fumbles / Game
27
18
Turnover EPA / Game
14
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
15
4th Down Efficiency
9
23
RZ Efficiency
31
15
Saints Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
8
Yards / Game
11
11
Passing Yards / Game
7
11
Rushing Yards / Game
10
10
EPA
EPA / Play
14
7
EPA / Pass
12
12
EPA / Rush
22
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
23
Interceptions / Game
1
9
Fumbles / Game
32
29
Turnover EPA / Game
13
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
7
4th Down Efficiency
31
13
RZ Efficiency
11
11
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U