CARPanthers
0-2
27
TBD
Lumen Field
61°F
2 mph
37
SEASeahawks
1-1
TBD
Lumen Field
61°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
3
10
0
14
27
Seahawks
3
9
10
15
37
Spread
-4.5
Total
OVER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
378
427
Total Plays
75
72
Yards / Play
5.0
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.02
+0.21
Passing Yards
334
281
Comp/Att
34/58(59%)
23/37(62%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
7.6
EPA / Pass
+0.08
+0.17
Rushing Yards
44
146
Rush Attempts
14
33
Yards / Rush
3.1
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.08
+0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
27
Passing 1st downs
17
14
Rushing 1st downs
3
10
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
53%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
10
3
3rd Down Attempts
19
13
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-2.94
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-27
-17
Sack EPA
-6.93
-2.61
Penalties
13
8
Penalty Yards
82
82
Penalty EPA
-9.19
-11.38
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-4.5
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market66.1%
Model66.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+117
Home nfelo
1,491
Away nfelo
1,433
Home Field
+65.7
Base HFA
+43.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.0
Time Adj
+7.7
Net QB Adjustment
-7.5
Home QB Adjustment
+7.8
Away QB Adjustment
+15.3
Market Regression
+10.7
Final Difference
116.0
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
A. Dalton
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
+15.3
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+7.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
24
Yards / Game
32
30
Passing Yards / Game
28
22
Rushing Yards / Game
20
31
EPA
EPA / Play
29
29
EPA / Pass
30
27
EPA / Rush
18
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
23
Interceptions / Game
6
19
Fumbles / Game
22
13
Turnover EPA / Game
11
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
31
4th Down Efficiency
21
15
RZ Efficiency
21
25
Seahawks Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
29
Yards / Game
22
3
Passing Yards / Game
7
1
Rushing Yards / Game
27
23
EPA
EPA / Play
9
27
EPA / Pass
12
17
EPA / Rush
12
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
2
Interceptions / Game
15
29
Fumbles / Game
1
32
Turnover EPA / Game
31
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
14
4th Down Efficiency
30
31
RZ Efficiency
26
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
5-5
SU
6-3-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Seahawks
4-6
SU
2-8
ATS
5-5
O/U