CARPanthers
1-10
14
TBD
Lumen Field
45°F
6 mph
31
SEASeahawks
5-6
TBD
Lumen Field
45°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
7
7
0
0
14
Seahawks
0
3
15
7
25
Spread
-5
Total
OVER
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
283
371
Total Plays
67
64
Yards / Play
4.2
5.8
EPA / Play
-0.17
+0.07
Passing Yards
152
210
Comp/Att
18/34(53%)
17/30(57%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
7.0
EPA / Pass
-0.35
-0.05
Rushing Yards
131
161
Rush Attempts
30
31
Yards / Rush
4.4
5.2
EPA / Rush
+0.15
+0.26
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
25
Passing 1st downs
8
11
Rushing 1st downs
10
11
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
33%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
10
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-7.32
-8.17
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-17
-19
Sack EPA
-4.28
-3.97
Penalties
8
4
Penalty Yards
53
20
Penalty EPA
-8.43
-2.67
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-5.0
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market67.1%
Model70.3%
Spread Pick
Seahawks-5.0
Expected Value
+4.9%
Cover Probability
54.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+191
Home nfelo
1,369
Away nfelo
1,289
Home Field
+106.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+5.4
Home QB Adjustment
+11.3
Away QB Adjustment
+6.0
Market Regression
-21.3
Final Difference
149.7
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
J. Clausen
Proj. Value
-3.0
Team Elo Adj
+6.0
M. Hasselbeck
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
+11.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
27
Yards / Game
32
30
Passing Yards / Game
30
24
Rushing Yards / Game
12
21
EPA
EPA / Play
32
25
EPA / Pass
32
29
EPA / Rush
32
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
17
Interceptions / Game
27
27
Fumbles / Game
30
20
Turnover EPA / Game
4
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
26
4th Down Efficiency
18
7
RZ Efficiency
32
11
Seahawks Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
25
Yards / Game
26
17
Passing Yards / Game
25
21
Rushing Yards / Game
31
23
EPA
EPA / Play
22
17
EPA / Pass
24
12
EPA / Rush
24
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
2
Interceptions / Game
20
11
Fumbles / Game
12
10
Turnover EPA / Game
12
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
14
4th Down Efficiency
29
12
RZ Efficiency
26
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Seahawks
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U