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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. panthers @ seahawks week 13, 2010

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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CAR logo
CARPanthers
1-10
14
TBD
Lumen Field
45°F
6 mph
31
SEASeahawks
5-6
SEA logo
TBD
Lumen Field
45°F
6 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
7
7
0
0
14
Seahawks
0
3
15
7
25

Spread

SEA logo
-5

Total

OVER
40

Game Statistics

General
Panthers logo
Seahawks logo
Total Yards
283
371
Total Plays
67
64
Yards / Play
4.2
5.8
EPA / Play
-0.17
+0.07
Passing Yards
152
210
Comp/Att
18/34(53%)
17/30(57%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
7.0
EPA / Pass
-0.35
-0.05
Rushing Yards
131
161
Rush Attempts
30
31
Yards / Rush
4.4
5.2
EPA / Rush
+0.15
+0.26
Downs & Conversions
Panthers logo
Seahawks logo
1st Downs
18
25
Passing 1st downs
8
11
Rushing 1st downs
10
11
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
33%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
10
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Panthers logo
Seahawks logo
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-7.32
-8.17
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-17
-19
Sack EPA
-4.28
-3.97
Penalties
8
4
Penalty Yards
53
20
Penalty EPA
-8.43
-2.67

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-5.0
Model
-6.5

Win Probability

Market67.1%
Model70.2%
Spread Pick
SEA logo
Seahawks-5.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+4.9%
Cover Probability
54.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+188
Home nfelo
1,368
Away nfelo
1,292
Home Field
+106.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+5.4
Home QB Adjustment
+11.3
Away QB Adjustment
+6.0
Market Regression
-22.6
Final Difference
148.4
Model Spread
-6.5

Quarterbacks

J. Clausen headshot

J. Clausen

Proj. Value
-3.0
Team Elo Adj
+6.0
Value
Ptile
09/26
-4.2
22
10/03
-3.1
29
10/10
-13.5
1
11/14
-2.3
33
11/28
-5.6
15
M. Hasselbeck headshot

M. Hasselbeck

Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
+11.3
Value
Ptile
09/12
4.5
80
09/19
-0.8
44
09/26
-2.2
35
10/03
-6.8
10
10/17
2.8
68
10/24
-4.6
19
10/31
-13.8
1
11/14
4.4
79
11/21
10.6
98
11/28
-2.2
34

Team Matchup Ranks

Panthers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Panthers logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
32
27
Yards / Game
32
30
Passing Yards / Game
30
24
Rushing Yards / Game
12
21

EPA

EPA / Play
32
25
EPA / Pass
32
29
EPA / Rush
32
21

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
17
Interceptions / Game
27
27
Fumbles / Game
30
20
Turnover EPA / Game
4
8

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
30
26
4th Down Efficiency
18
7
RZ Efficiency
32
11
Seahawks Offense vs Panthers Defense
Seahawks logo
Panthers logo

Total

Points / Game
22
25
Yards / Game
26
17
Passing Yards / Game
25
21
Rushing Yards / Game
31
23

EPA

EPA / Play
22
17
EPA / Pass
24
12
EPA / Rush
24
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
2
Interceptions / Game
20
11
Fumbles / Game
12
10
Turnover EPA / Game
12
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
22
14
4th Down Efficiency
29
12
RZ Efficiency
26
10

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CAR logo

Panthers

1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/19
-13
L
L
U
09/26
-13
L
L
U
10/03
-2
L
W
U
10/10
-17
L
L
U
10/24
3
W
W
O
10/31
-10
L
L
U
11/07
-31
L
L
U
11/14
-15
L
L
O
11/21
-24
L
L
O
11/28
-1
L
W
O
SEA logo

Seahawks

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/19
-17
L
L
O
09/26
7
W
W
O
10/03
-17
L
L
U
10/17
3
W
W
O
10/24
12
W
W
U
10/31
-30
L
L
U
11/07
-34
L
L
O
11/14
18
W
W
O
11/21
-15
L
L
O
11/28
-18
L
L
O