CARPanthers
8-0
27
TBD
Nissan Stadium
57°F
2 mph
10
TENTitans
2-6
TBD
Nissan Stadium
57°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
7
7
3
10
27
Titans
7
3
0
0
10
Spread
-3.5
Total
UNDER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
303
242
Total Plays
64
46
Yards / Play
4.7
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.21
-0.17
Passing Yards
184
178
Comp/Att
21/25(84%)
16/24(67%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
7.4
EPA / Pass
+0.30
-0.01
Rushing Yards
119
64
Rush Attempts
34
21
Yards / Rush
3.5
3.0
EPA / Rush
+0.12
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
11
Passing 1st downs
13
8
Rushing 1st downs
10
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
54%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
60%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-5.04
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-33
-7
Sack EPA
-7.28
-1.39
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
45
30
Penalty EPA
-3.40
-2.47
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model62.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-73
Home nfelo
1,390
Away nfelo
1,527
Home Field
+50.7
Base HFA
+61.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.1
Net QB Adjustment
+13.0
Home QB Adjustment
+29.4
Away QB Adjustment
+16.5
Market Regression
+17.4
Final Difference
-91.7
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+16.5
M. Mariota
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+29.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
27
Yards / Game
11
12
Passing Yards / Game
17
15
Rushing Yards / Game
2
18
EPA
EPA / Play
4
23
EPA / Pass
7
28
EPA / Rush
3
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
1
Interceptions / Game
8
20
Fumbles / Game
26
29
Turnover EPA / Game
22
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
25
4th Down Efficiency
9
5
RZ Efficiency
1
26
Titans Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
6
Yards / Game
30
5
Passing Yards / Game
22
20
Rushing Yards / Game
25
4
EPA
EPA / Play
31
2
EPA / Pass
30
2
EPA / Rush
25
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
19
Interceptions / Game
24
1
Fumbles / Game
32
3
Turnover EPA / Game
5
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
9
4th Down Efficiency
22
25
RZ Efficiency
5
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
9-1
SU
7-3
ATS
7-2-1
O/U
Titans
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U