CARPanthers
1-9
10
TBD
Nissan Stadium
51°F
13 mph
17
TENTitans
3-7
TBD
Nissan Stadium
51°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
0
3
7
0
10
Titans
7
10
0
0
17
Spread
-3.5
Total
UNDER
36
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
258
264
Total Plays
67
53
Yards / Play
3.9
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.08
+0.01
Passing Yards
162
184
Comp/Att
18/31(58%)
18/28(64%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
6.6
EPA / Pass
-0.16
-0.00
Rushing Yards
96
80
Rush Attempts
32
24
Yards / Rush
3.0
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.14
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
15
Passing 1st downs
7
9
Rushing 1st downs
8
6
Penalty 1st downs
4
--
3rd Down %
38%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
6
2
3rd Down Attempts
16
11
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.32
--
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-32
-1
Sack EPA
-9.96
-1.14
Penalties
4
8
Penalty Yards
--
53
Penalty EPA
--
-7.88
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
TENTitansFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model65.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+141
Home nfelo
1,449
Away nfelo
1,335
Home Field
+36.5
Base HFA
+44.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-8.0
Net QB Adjustment
-10.8
Home QB Adjustment
-40.7
Away QB Adjustment
-29.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
108.6
Model Spread
-4.0
Quarterbacks
B. Young
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-29.9
W. Levis
Proj. Value
-4.2
Team Elo Adj
-40.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
15
Yards / Game
32
17
Passing Yards / Game
28
19
Rushing Yards / Game
20
14
EPA
EPA / Play
29
28
EPA / Pass
30
30
EPA / Rush
18
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
4
Interceptions / Game
6
32
Fumbles / Game
22
13
Turnover EPA / Game
11
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
18
4th Down Efficiency
21
26
RZ Efficiency
21
1
Titans Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
29
Yards / Game
28
3
Passing Yards / Game
18
1
Rushing Yards / Game
18
23
EPA
EPA / Play
16
27
EPA / Pass
21
17
EPA / Rush
13
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
2
Interceptions / Game
10
29
Fumbles / Game
6
32
Turnover EPA / Game
29
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
14
4th Down Efficiency
11
31
RZ Efficiency
28
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
1-9
SU
1-7-2
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Titans
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U