NEPatriots
2-1
30
TBD
Candlestick Park
67°F
8 mph
21
SF49ers
2-2
TBD
Candlestick Park
67°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
7
10
7
6
30
49ers
14
0
0
7
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
377
199
Total Plays
80
48
Yards / Play
4.7
4.1
EPA / Play
+0.09
-0.09
Passing Yards
233
122
Comp/Att
22/32(69%)
14/29(48%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
4.2
EPA / Pass
+0.16
-0.36
Rushing Yards
144
77
Rush Attempts
43
18
Yards / Rush
3.3
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.02
+0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
12
Passing 1st downs
13
7
Rushing 1st downs
10
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
47%
11%
3rd Down Conversions
8
1
3rd Down Attempts
17
9
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
2
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-6.95
-8.08
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-26
-8
Sack EPA
-6.33
-1.36
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
56
37
Penalty EPA
-5.13
-4.39
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
23
Yards / Game
5
15
Passing Yards / Game
4
10
Rushing Yards / Game
5
14
EPA
EPA / Play
2
18
EPA / Pass
9
25
EPA / Rush
1
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
1
Interceptions / Game
4
23
Fumbles / Game
12
26
Turnover EPA / Game
24
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
11
4th Down Efficiency
2
24
RZ Efficiency
18
9
49ers Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
8
Yards / Game
21
10
Passing Yards / Game
5
12
Rushing Yards / Game
27
16
EPA
EPA / Play
22
20
EPA / Pass
23
27
EPA / Rush
26
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
5
Interceptions / Game
26
15
Fumbles / Game
32
22
Turnover EPA / Game
1
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
27
4th Down Efficiency
20
2
RZ Efficiency
19
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
8-2
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
49ers
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U