NEPatriots
4-4
33
TBD
Memorial Stadium (Champaign)
60°F
16 mph
30
CHIBears
2-6
TBD
Memorial Stadium (Champaign)
60°F
16 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
0
6
10
17
33
Bears
0
6
21
3
30
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
399
299
Total Plays
78
60
Yards / Play
5.1
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.01
Passing Yards
317
174
Comp/Att
36/56(64%)
16/30(53%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
5.8
EPA / Pass
+0.06
-0.20
Rushing Yards
82
125
Rush Attempts
20
28
Yards / Rush
4.1
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.02
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
14
Passing 1st downs
15
6
Rushing 1st downs
4
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
35%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
17
15
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.29
-4.83
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-13
-9
Sack EPA
-6.38
-1.50
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
65
30
Penalty EPA
-4.73
-3.81
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
25
Yards / Game
22
25
Passing Yards / Game
21
28
Rushing Yards / Game
28
27
EPA
EPA / Play
10
21
EPA / Pass
18
26
EPA / Rush
16
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
7
Interceptions / Game
9
30
Fumbles / Game
5
3
Turnover EPA / Game
26
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
10
4th Down Efficiency
20
25
RZ Efficiency
16
8
Bears Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
15
Yards / Game
29
23
Passing Yards / Game
17
7
Rushing Yards / Game
32
31
EPA
EPA / Play
27
19
EPA / Pass
27
8
EPA / Rush
27
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
23
Interceptions / Game
21
12
Fumbles / Game
25
12
Turnover EPA / Game
4
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
26
4th Down Efficiency
18
27
RZ Efficiency
8
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U