NEPatriots
2-7
11
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
44°F
6 mph
19
CLEBrowns
2-8
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
44°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
3
0
0
8
11
Browns
3
10
3
3
19
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
288
272
Total Plays
62
72
Yards / Play
4.6
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.16
-0.04
Passing Yards
184
133
Comp/Att
21/35(60%)
20/37(54%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
3.6
EPA / Pass
-0.16
-0.04
Rushing Yards
104
139
Rush Attempts
23
35
Yards / Rush
4.5
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.31
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
18
Passing 1st downs
11
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
38%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
5
9
3rd Down Attempts
13
19
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
3
0
Turnover EPA
-18.31
--
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-28
-5
Sack EPA
-9.07
--
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
40
25
Penalty EPA
-2.64
-2.04
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
27
Yards / Game
21
26
Passing Yards / Game
14
9
Rushing Yards / Game
26
29
EPA
EPA / Play
20
28
EPA / Pass
18
22
EPA / Rush
27
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
14
Interceptions / Game
10
25
Fumbles / Game
7
16
Turnover EPA / Game
21
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
26
4th Down Efficiency
12
25
RZ Efficiency
24
26
Browns Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
17
Yards / Game
31
19
Passing Yards / Game
30
15
Rushing Yards / Game
30
20
EPA
EPA / Play
31
18
EPA / Pass
29
24
EPA / Rush
29
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
8
Interceptions / Game
20
29
Fumbles / Game
2
16
Turnover EPA / Game
24
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
28
4th Down Efficiency
26
31
RZ Efficiency
22
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Browns
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U