NEPatriots
10-1
42
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
46°F
5 mph
15
CLEBrowns
3-8
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
46°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
14
7
15
0
36
Browns
0
7
0
8
15
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
412
289
Total Plays
78
56
Yards / Play
5.3
5.2
EPA / Play
+0.26
-0.22
Passing Yards
187
243
Comp/Att
14/26(54%)
20/36(56%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.52
-0.17
Rushing Yards
225
46
Rush Attempts
50
17
Yards / Rush
4.5
2.7
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.71
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
15
Passing 1st downs
9
9
Rushing 1st downs
16
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
53%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
8
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
10
Red Zone %
75%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
4
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-7.81
-19.26
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-14
-36
Sack EPA
-0.27
-5.24
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
60
84
Penalty EPA
-6.31
-9.89
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
24
Yards / Game
9
14
Passing Yards / Game
12
2
Rushing Yards / Game
6
32
EPA
EPA / Play
4
17
EPA / Pass
5
12
EPA / Rush
10
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
11
Interceptions / Game
6
19
Fumbles / Game
20
21
Turnover EPA / Game
28
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
14
4th Down Efficiency
21
14
RZ Efficiency
7
25
Browns Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
2
Yards / Game
28
9
Passing Yards / Game
20
16
Rushing Yards / Game
23
5
EPA
EPA / Play
28
9
EPA / Pass
27
8
EPA / Rush
31
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
28
Interceptions / Game
25
3
Fumbles / Game
32
2
Turnover EPA / Game
4
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
22
4th Down Efficiency
23
14
RZ Efficiency
26
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
9-1
SU
8-1-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Browns
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U