NEPatriots
1-0
23
TBD
Sun Devil Stadium
89°F
15 mph
12
ARICardinals
0-1
TBD
Sun Devil Stadium
89°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
7
7
3
6
23
Cardinals
0
6
6
0
12
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
377
167
Total Plays
70
51
Yards / Play
5.4
3.3
EPA / Play
+0.03
-0.24
Passing Yards
205
117
Comp/Att
15/26(58%)
13/30(43%)
Yards / Pass
7.9
3.9
EPA / Pass
+0.42
-0.49
Rushing Yards
172
50
Rush Attempts
42
16
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.20
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
14
Passing 1st downs
12
7
Rushing 1st downs
10
2
Penalty 1st downs
2
5
3rd Down %
54%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
7
2
3rd Down Attempts
13
10
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-10.10
-6.15
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-12
-43
Sack EPA
-2.85
-7.88
Penalties
12
6
Penalty Yards
79
43
Penalty EPA
-11.13
-5.41
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
11
Yards / Game
9
12
Passing Yards / Game
12
7
Rushing Yards / Game
6
27
EPA
EPA / Play
4
6
EPA / Pass
5
10
EPA / Rush
10
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
13
Interceptions / Game
6
19
Fumbles / Game
20
3
Turnover EPA / Game
28
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
3
4th Down Efficiency
21
22
RZ Efficiency
7
6
Cardinals Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
2
Yards / Game
27
9
Passing Yards / Game
21
16
Rushing Yards / Game
22
5
EPA
EPA / Play
27
9
EPA / Pass
26
8
EPA / Rush
24
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
28
Interceptions / Game
21
3
Fumbles / Game
11
2
Turnover EPA / Game
12
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
22
4th Down Efficiency
24
14
RZ Efficiency
22
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
10-0
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Cardinals
2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U