NEPatriots
5-2
27
TBD
Sun Devil Stadium
88°F
03
ARICardinals
2-4
TBD
Sun Devil Stadium
88°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
14
6
0
7
27
Cardinals
0
0
3
0
3
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
386
166
Total Plays
70
61
Yards / Play
5.5
2.7
EPA / Play
+0.09
-0.34
Passing Yards
244
90
Comp/Att
14/22(64%)
13/39(33%)
Yards / Pass
11.1
2.3
EPA / Pass
+0.51
-0.58
Rushing Yards
142
76
Rush Attempts
43
19
Yards / Rush
3.3
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
8
Passing 1st downs
10
4
Rushing 1st downs
7
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
44%
19%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
18
16
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-6.73
Sacks
5
3
Sack Yards
-32
-21
Sack EPA
-11.65
-5.31
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
36
30
Penalty EPA
-3.37
-3.79
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
27
Yards / Game
18
23
Passing Yards / Game
4
8
Rushing Yards / Game
22
30
EPA
EPA / Play
22
24
EPA / Pass
20
17
EPA / Rush
24
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
11
Interceptions / Game
26
15
Fumbles / Game
13
21
Turnover EPA / Game
12
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
27
4th Down Efficiency
25
4
RZ Efficiency
27
31
Cardinals Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
5
Yards / Game
29
7
Passing Yards / Game
18
3
Rushing Yards / Game
29
20
EPA
EPA / Play
28
8
EPA / Pass
30
13
EPA / Rush
23
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
3
Interceptions / Game
30
18
Fumbles / Game
6
7
Turnover EPA / Game
5
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
15
4th Down Efficiency
30
5
RZ Efficiency
13
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
5-2
SU
2-4-1
ATS
0-0-7
O/U
Cardinals
2-4
SU
2-4
ATS
0-0-6
O/U