NEPatriots
3-1
10
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
69°F
8 mph
30
LACChargers
2-3
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
69°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
0
3
0
7
10
Chargers
10
7
10
3
30
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
299
404
Total Plays
68
55
Yards / Play
4.4
7.3
EPA / Play
-0.19
+0.11
Passing Yards
193
--
Comp/Att
22/38(58%)
18/27(67%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
--
EPA / Pass
-0.35
+0.57
Rushing Yards
106
98
Rush Attempts
26
28
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.24
-0.38
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
19
Passing 1st downs
8
13
Rushing 1st downs
10
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
36%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
10
Red Zone %
33%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.57
-5.00
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-10
--
Sack EPA
-5.51
--
Penalties
6
3
Penalty Yards
73
20
Penalty EPA
-8.99
-1.67
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
17
Yards / Game
5
25
Passing Yards / Game
4
22
Rushing Yards / Game
5
11
EPA
EPA / Play
2
27
EPA / Pass
9
20
EPA / Rush
1
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
20
Interceptions / Game
4
17
Fumbles / Game
12
17
Turnover EPA / Game
24
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
19
4th Down Efficiency
2
15
RZ Efficiency
18
22
Chargers Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
8
Yards / Game
10
10
Passing Yards / Game
14
12
Rushing Yards / Game
21
16
EPA
EPA / Play
1
20
EPA / Pass
3
27
EPA / Rush
7
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
5
Interceptions / Game
8
15
Fumbles / Game
9
22
Turnover EPA / Game
23
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
27
4th Down Efficiency
3
2
RZ Efficiency
12
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
8-2
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
6-4
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U