NEPatriots
2-5
23
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
030
INDColts
4-2
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
7
6
10
0
23
Colts
7
0
7
16
30
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
386
398
Total Plays
76
42
Yards / Play
5.1
9.5
EPA / Play
+0.20
+0.45
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
23/34(68%)
16/21(76%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.20
+0.71
Rushing Yards
155
130
Rush Attempts
42
21
Yards / Rush
3.7
6.2
EPA / Rush
+0.04
+0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
20
Passing 1st downs
9
10
Rushing 1st downs
11
7
Penalty 1st downs
4
3
3rd Down %
40%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
6
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
5
Red Zone %
40%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-0.05
-3.93
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
6
8
Penalty Yards
48
106
Penalty EPA
-4.59
-11.13
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
16
Yards / Game
21
22
Passing Yards / Game
14
8
Rushing Yards / Game
26
27
EPA
EPA / Play
20
21
EPA / Pass
18
14
EPA / Rush
27
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
31
Interceptions / Game
10
17
Fumbles / Game
7
28
Turnover EPA / Game
21
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
21
4th Down Efficiency
12
28
RZ Efficiency
24
25
Colts Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
17
Yards / Game
3
19
Passing Yards / Game
18
15
Rushing Yards / Game
15
20
EPA
EPA / Play
2
17
EPA / Pass
2
24
EPA / Rush
7
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
8
Interceptions / Game
8
29
Fumbles / Game
15
16
Turnover EPA / Game
20
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
28
4th Down Efficiency
1
31
RZ Efficiency
4
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
3-7
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U