NEPatriots
8-0
24
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
020
INDColts
7-0
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
0
7
3
14
24
Colts
3
10
0
7
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
342
329
Total Plays
62
61
Yards / Play
5.5
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.06
-0.05
Passing Yards
237
210
Comp/Att
21/32(66%)
16/27(59%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
7.8
EPA / Pass
+0.22
-0.00
Rushing Yards
105
119
Rush Attempts
28
31
Yards / Rush
3.8
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.09
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
23
Passing 1st downs
14
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
58%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
75%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-8.62
-8.14
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-18
-15
Sack EPA
-3.31
-5.68
Penalties
10
4
Penalty Yards
146
25
Penalty EPA
-13.91
-5.29
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
2
Yards / Game
1
3
Passing Yards / Game
8
3
Rushing Yards / Game
11
14
EPA
EPA / Play
1
10
EPA / Pass
1
7
EPA / Rush
2
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
28
Interceptions / Game
3
2
Fumbles / Game
3
13
Turnover EPA / Game
32
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
31
4th Down Efficiency
4
23
RZ Efficiency
2
22
Colts Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
1
Yards / Game
3
5
Passing Yards / Game
23
21
Rushing Yards / Game
20
9
EPA
EPA / Play
2
12
EPA / Pass
3
3
EPA / Rush
4
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
24
Interceptions / Game
11
6
Fumbles / Game
4
17
Turnover EPA / Game
31
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
4
4th Down Efficiency
10
25
RZ Efficiency
10
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
9-1
SU
9-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
10-0
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U