NEPatriots
5-2
15
TBD
Lucas Oil Stadium
70°F
018
INDColts
3-4
TBD
Lucas Oil Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
0
6
6
3
15
Colts
7
0
8
3
18
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
342
303
Total Plays
68
51
Yards / Play
5.0
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.16
+0.21
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
26/35(74%)
21/30(70%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.22
+0.58
Rushing Yards
140
47
Rush Attempts
33
21
Yards / Rush
4.2
2.2
EPA / Rush
+0.02
-0.35
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
18
Passing 1st downs
12
16
Rushing 1st downs
10
2
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
57%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
8
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
10
Red Zone %
25%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-1.03
--
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
2
1
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
7
Yards / Game
5
11
Passing Yards / Game
4
3
Rushing Yards / Game
5
25
EPA
EPA / Play
2
21
EPA / Pass
9
9
EPA / Rush
1
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
29
Interceptions / Game
4
13
Fumbles / Game
12
8
Turnover EPA / Game
24
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
31
4th Down Efficiency
2
16
RZ Efficiency
18
2
Colts Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
8
Yards / Game
15
10
Passing Yards / Game
20
12
Rushing Yards / Game
31
16
EPA
EPA / Play
4
20
EPA / Pass
2
27
EPA / Rush
23
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
5
Interceptions / Game
6
15
Fumbles / Game
1
22
Turnover EPA / Game
31
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
27
4th Down Efficiency
4
2
RZ Efficiency
1
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
7-3
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
4-6
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U