NEPatriots
9-2
38
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
034
INDColts
9-2
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
10
14
7
7
38
Colts
0
10
14
10
34
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
282
370
Total Plays
60
79
Yards / Play
4.7
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.20
+0.05
Passing Yards
226
272
Comp/Att
26/35(74%)
29/48(60%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
5.7
EPA / Pass
+0.14
+0.07
Rushing Yards
56
98
Rush Attempts
23
29
Yards / Rush
2.4
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.20
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
26
Passing 1st downs
12
14
Rushing 1st downs
7
9
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
55%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
16
Red Zone %
100%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-13.33
-8.17
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-10
-6
Sack EPA
-3.35
-5.00
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
52
31
Penalty EPA
-10.28
-2.80
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
19
Yards / Game
15
13
Passing Yards / Game
18
1
Rushing Yards / Game
26
20
EPA
EPA / Play
15
29
EPA / Pass
9
18
EPA / Rush
29
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
29
Interceptions / Game
5
13
Fumbles / Game
18
3
Turnover EPA / Game
26
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
16
4th Down Efficiency
8
31
RZ Efficiency
28
27
Colts Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
1
Yards / Game
2
7
Passing Yards / Game
6
27
Rushing Yards / Game
19
3
EPA
EPA / Play
2
2
EPA / Pass
1
3
EPA / Rush
13
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
25
Interceptions / Game
4
1
Fumbles / Game
12
22
Turnover EPA / Game
31
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
8
4th Down Efficiency
12
6
RZ Efficiency
10
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
9-1
SU
9-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
8-2
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U