NEPatriots
14-4
34
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
038
INDColts
14-4
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
7
8
7
6
28
Colts
3
3
15
17
38
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
319
457
Total Plays
59
81
Yards / Play
5.4
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.17
+0.13
Passing Yards
226
332
Comp/Att
21/34(62%)
27/48(56%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
6.9
EPA / Pass
+0.13
+0.03
Rushing Yards
93
125
Rush Attempts
24
30
Yards / Rush
3.9
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.13
+0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
32
Passing 1st downs
11
20
Rushing 1st downs
6
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
36%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
5
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
75%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
4
Red Zone Attempts
4
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-1.67
-8.23
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-6
-19
Sack EPA
-1.24
-4.30
Penalties
8
4
Penalty Yards
63
--
Penalty EPA
-8.37
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
18
Yards / Game
11
12
Passing Yards / Game
16
2
Rushing Yards / Game
14
32
EPA
EPA / Play
4
27
EPA / Pass
6
14
EPA / Rush
11
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
32
Interceptions / Game
10
14
Fumbles / Game
25
6
Turnover EPA / Game
27
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
25
4th Down Efficiency
1
30
RZ Efficiency
3
31
Colts Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
2
Yards / Game
2
10
Passing Yards / Game
22
30
Rushing Yards / Game
16
5
EPA
EPA / Play
2
6
EPA / Pass
1
5
EPA / Rush
10
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
24
Interceptions / Game
6
4
Fumbles / Game
9
12
Turnover EPA / Game
22
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
10
4th Down Efficiency
32
2
RZ Efficiency
4
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U