NEPatriots
6-3
17
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
74°F
8 mph
27
MIADolphins
7-2
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
74°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
7
3
7
0
17
Dolphins
3
7
14
3
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
270
227
Total Plays
57
72
Yards / Play
4.7
3.2
EPA / Play
-0.23
-0.07
Passing Yards
168
110
Comp/Att
15/33(45%)
18/34(53%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
3.2
EPA / Pass
-0.65
-0.24
Rushing Yards
102
117
Rush Attempts
19
36
Yards / Rush
5.4
3.3
EPA / Rush
+0.21
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
19
Passing 1st downs
9
10
Rushing 1st downs
4
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
17%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
2
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
17
Red Zone %
50%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
2
Interceptions
5
0
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-18.08
-9.56
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-33
-19
Sack EPA
-7.30
-2.40
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
50
--
Penalty EPA
-3.16
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
24
Yards / Game
18
5
Passing Yards / Game
4
14
Rushing Yards / Game
22
13
EPA
EPA / Play
22
10
EPA / Pass
20
9
EPA / Rush
24
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
17
Interceptions / Game
26
14
Fumbles / Game
13
22
Turnover EPA / Game
12
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
3
4th Down Efficiency
25
24
RZ Efficiency
27
2
Dolphins Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
5
Yards / Game
23
7
Passing Yards / Game
26
3
Rushing Yards / Game
24
20
EPA
EPA / Play
25
8
EPA / Pass
26
13
EPA / Rush
25
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
3
Interceptions / Game
25
18
Fumbles / Game
25
7
Turnover EPA / Game
2
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
15
4th Down Efficiency
10
5
RZ Efficiency
22
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
6-3
SU
3-5-1
ATS
0-0-9
O/U
Dolphins
7-2
SU
5-4
ATS
0-0-9
O/U