NEPatriots
15-0
38
TBD
Giants Stadium
44°F
8 mph
35
NYGGiants
10-5
TBD
Giants Stadium
44°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
3
13
7
15
38
Giants
7
14
7
7
35
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
392
316
Total Plays
70
52
Yards / Play
5.6
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.38
+0.37
Passing Yards
346
237
Comp/Att
32/42(76%)
22/32(69%)
Yards / Pass
8.2
7.4
EPA / Pass
+0.50
+0.37
Rushing Yards
46
79
Rush Attempts
27
19
Yards / Rush
1.7
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
19
Passing 1st downs
18
13
Rushing 1st downs
7
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
46%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
10
Red Zone %
60%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
4
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-3.12
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-10
-14
Sack EPA
-1.45
-1.98
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
42
53
Penalty EPA
-1.69
-4.52
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
14
Yards / Game
1
7
Passing Yards / Game
8
23
Rushing Yards / Game
11
6
EPA
EPA / Play
1
13
EPA / Pass
1
13
EPA / Rush
2
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
20
Interceptions / Game
3
18
Fumbles / Game
3
16
Turnover EPA / Game
32
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
10
4th Down Efficiency
4
16
RZ Efficiency
2
29
Giants Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
1
Yards / Game
17
5
Passing Yards / Game
10
21
Rushing Yards / Game
6
9
EPA
EPA / Play
11
12
EPA / Pass
19
3
EPA / Rush
6
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
24
Interceptions / Game
16
6
Fumbles / Game
17
17
Turnover EPA / Game
11
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
4
4th Down Efficiency
26
25
RZ Efficiency
13
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
10-0
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Giants
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U