NEPatriots
-
38
TBD
Giants Stadium
84°F
10 mph
14
NYJJets
-
TBD
Giants Stadium
84°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
7
7
14
10
38
Jets
0
7
7
0
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
431
227
Total Plays
65
55
Yards / Play
6.6
4.1
EPA / Play
+0.47
+0.04
Passing Yards
--
167
Comp/Att
22/28(79%)
21/31(68%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.4
EPA / Pass
+0.98
+0.16
Rushing Yards
134
60
Rush Attempts
37
19
Yards / Rush
3.6
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
17
Passing 1st downs
16
12
Rushing 1st downs
11
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
67%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
9
11
Red Zone %
75%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
--
5
Sack Yards
--
-35
Sack EPA
--
-5.66
Penalties
4
2
Penalty Yards
16
20
Penalty EPA
-2.24
-2.42
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
19
Yards / Game
1
18
Passing Yards / Game
8
5
Rushing Yards / Game
11
29
EPA
EPA / Play
1
30
EPA / Pass
1
24
EPA / Rush
2
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
3
Interceptions / Game
3
23
Fumbles / Game
3
32
Turnover EPA / Game
32
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
24
4th Down Efficiency
4
32
RZ Efficiency
2
26
Jets Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
1
Yards / Game
26
5
Passing Yards / Game
11
21
Rushing Yards / Game
18
9
EPA
EPA / Play
18
12
EPA / Pass
25
3
EPA / Rush
14
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
24
Interceptions / Game
23
6
Fumbles / Game
2
17
Turnover EPA / Game
18
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
4
4th Down Efficiency
14
25
RZ Efficiency
31
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jets
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U