NEPatriots
1-0
19
TBD
Giants Stadium
90°F
12 mph
10
NYJJets
1-0
TBD
Giants Stadium
90°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
3
3
10
3
19
Jets
0
3
0
7
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
260
256
Total Plays
59
49
Yards / Play
4.4
5.2
EPA / Play
+0.05
-0.19
Passing Yards
156
152
Comp/Att
16/23(70%)
18/26(69%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
5.8
EPA / Pass
+0.39
+0.15
Rushing Yards
104
104
Rush Attempts
33
21
Yards / Rush
3.2
5.0
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
12
Passing 1st downs
10
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
43%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
20%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-3.62
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-9
-29
Sack EPA
-3.22
-2.75
Penalties
2
6
Penalty Yards
--
60
Penalty EPA
--
-6.17
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
18
Yards / Game
5
17
Passing Yards / Game
4
25
Rushing Yards / Game
5
7
EPA
EPA / Play
2
12
EPA / Pass
9
15
EPA / Rush
1
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
19
Interceptions / Game
4
15
Fumbles / Game
12
2
Turnover EPA / Game
24
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
15
4th Down Efficiency
2
30
RZ Efficiency
18
12
Jets Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
8
Yards / Game
16
10
Passing Yards / Game
19
12
Rushing Yards / Game
9
16
EPA
EPA / Play
9
20
EPA / Pass
14
27
EPA / Rush
3
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
5
Interceptions / Game
32
15
Fumbles / Game
4
22
Turnover EPA / Game
6
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
27
4th Down Efficiency
11
2
RZ Efficiency
17
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
9-1
SU
1-9
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jets
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U