NEPatriots
12-2
21
TBD
Giants Stadium
30°F
12 mph
16
NYJJets
6-8
TBD
Giants Stadium
30°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
7
1
7
0
15
Jets
7
3
0
6
16
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
271
321
Total Plays
50
74
Yards / Play
5.4
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.01
-0.12
Passing Yards
--
212
Comp/Att
15/26(58%)
24/44(55%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.8
EPA / Pass
-0.19
-0.29
Rushing Yards
133
109
Rush Attempts
24
26
Yards / Rush
5.5
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.14
+0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
22
Passing 1st downs
8
15
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
27%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
3
9
3rd Down Attempts
11
16
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
5
Interceptions
1
5
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.01
-17.99
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-17
Sack EPA
--
-4.58
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
31
25
Penalty EPA
-4.36
-3.36
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
9
Yards / Game
15
21
Passing Yards / Game
18
14
Rushing Yards / Game
26
28
EPA
EPA / Play
15
24
EPA / Pass
9
21
EPA / Rush
29
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
20
Interceptions / Game
5
29
Fumbles / Game
18
25
Turnover EPA / Game
26
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
25
4th Down Efficiency
8
16
RZ Efficiency
28
12
Jets Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
1
Yards / Game
19
7
Passing Yards / Game
20
27
Rushing Yards / Game
27
3
EPA
EPA / Play
11
2
EPA / Pass
11
3
EPA / Rush
17
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
25
Interceptions / Game
9
1
Fumbles / Game
3
22
Turnover EPA / Game
29
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
8
4th Down Efficiency
20
6
RZ Efficiency
16
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
10-0
SU
9-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jets
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U