NEPatriots
9-5
31
TBD
Giants Stadium
41°F
18 mph
21
NYJJets
3-11
TBD
Giants Stadium
41°F
18 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
7
14
7
3
31
Jets
1
0
0
14
15
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
321
171
Total Plays
83
40
Yards / Play
3.9
4.3
EPA / Play
+0.10
-0.12
Passing Yards
170
131
Comp/Att
19/30(63%)
14/26(54%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
5.0
EPA / Pass
+0.01
-0.10
Rushing Yards
151
40
Rush Attempts
50
10
Yards / Rush
3.0
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.01
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
10
Passing 1st downs
11
7
Rushing 1st downs
10
1
Penalty 1st downs
5
2
3rd Down %
50%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
9
4
3rd Down Attempts
18
10
Red Zone %
80%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-10.11
-11.35
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-17
-32
Sack EPA
-4.23
-5.76
Penalties
4
9
Penalty Yards
30
69
Penalty EPA
-2.63
-10.65
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
22
Yards / Game
6
12
Passing Yards / Game
7
10
Rushing Yards / Game
23
29
EPA
EPA / Play
7
25
EPA / Pass
4
13
EPA / Rush
16
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
2
Interceptions / Game
16
5
Fumbles / Game
7
27
Turnover EPA / Game
16
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
29
4th Down Efficiency
3
32
RZ Efficiency
3
13
Jets Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
17
Yards / Game
31
24
Passing Yards / Game
19
20
Rushing Yards / Game
31
7
EPA
EPA / Play
25
23
EPA / Pass
30
25
EPA / Rush
21
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
26
Interceptions / Game
11
26
Fumbles / Game
30
29
Turnover EPA / Game
7
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
22
4th Down Efficiency
20
3
RZ Efficiency
24
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jets
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U