NEPatriots
3-8
9
TBD
Pontiac Silverdome
70°F
034
DETLions
7-4
TBD
Pontiac Silverdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
6
0
3
0
9
Lions
3
3
7
15
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
215
299
Total Plays
56
54
Yards / Play
3.8
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.22
+0.17
Passing Yards
124
189
Comp/Att
18/34(53%)
17/25(68%)
Yards / Pass
3.6
7.6
EPA / Pass
-0.50
+0.23
Rushing Yards
66
110
Rush Attempts
20
28
Yards / Rush
3.3
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
17
Passing 1st downs
6
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
25%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
0%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-15.63
-5.18
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-5
-15
Sack EPA
-1.94
-5.18
Penalties
9
10
Penalty Yards
81
99
Penalty EPA
-6.55
-8.21
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
10
Yards / Game
21
14
Passing Yards / Game
14
12
Rushing Yards / Game
26
18
EPA
EPA / Play
20
3
EPA / Pass
18
7
EPA / Rush
27
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
5
Interceptions / Game
10
4
Fumbles / Game
7
5
Turnover EPA / Game
21
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
16
4th Down Efficiency
12
20
RZ Efficiency
24
23
Lions Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
17
Yards / Game
27
19
Passing Yards / Game
22
15
Rushing Yards / Game
20
20
EPA
EPA / Play
27
17
EPA / Pass
28
24
EPA / Rush
17
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
8
Interceptions / Game
20
29
Fumbles / Game
13
16
Turnover EPA / Game
9
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
28
4th Down Efficiency
18
31
RZ Efficiency
23
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U