NEPatriots
6-1
40
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
022
LARRams
4-3
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
6
13
14
7
40
Rams
0
8
0
8
16
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
376
342
Total Plays
66
58
Yards / Play
5.7
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.34
-0.02
Passing Yards
229
259
Comp/Att
19/32(59%)
23/33(70%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
7.8
EPA / Pass
+0.33
+0.01
Rushing Yards
147
83
Rush Attempts
32
20
Yards / Rush
4.6
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.08
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
21
Passing 1st downs
14
13
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
50%
22%
3rd Down Conversions
7
2
3rd Down Attempts
14
9
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
4
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-0.30
-8.71
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-9
-26
Sack EPA
-7.46
-8.48
Penalties
7
10
Penalty Yards
48
80
Penalty EPA
-4.28
-6.28
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
28
Yards / Game
9
23
Passing Yards / Game
12
17
Rushing Yards / Game
6
31
EPA
EPA / Play
4
27
EPA / Pass
5
22
EPA / Rush
10
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
2
Interceptions / Game
6
32
Fumbles / Game
20
24
Turnover EPA / Game
28
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
16
4th Down Efficiency
21
26
RZ Efficiency
7
21
Rams Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
2
Yards / Game
6
9
Passing Yards / Game
3
16
Rushing Yards / Game
27
5
EPA
EPA / Play
16
9
EPA / Pass
11
8
EPA / Rush
5
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
28
Interceptions / Game
27
3
Fumbles / Game
28
2
Turnover EPA / Game
5
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
22
4th Down Efficiency
2
14
RZ Efficiency
18
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
9-1
SU
5-3-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Rams
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U