NEPatriots
8-2
23
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
020
HOUTexans
4-6
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Patriots
0
10
0
10
3
23
Texans
3
0
7
10
0
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
472
169
Total Plays
92
58
Yards / Play
5.1
2.9
EPA / Play
-0.14
-0.27
Passing Yards
344
80
Comp/Att
29/47(62%)
10/25(40%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
3.2
EPA / Pass
+0.04
-0.42
Rushing Yards
128
89
Rush Attempts
41
30
Yards / Rush
3.1
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
29
11
Passing 1st downs
20
7
Rushing 1st downs
7
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
35%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
20
15
Red Zone %
17%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-11.47
-4.23
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-24
-13
Sack EPA
-11.63
-4.72
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
58
45
Penalty EPA
-5.12
-5.64
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
27
Yards / Game
15
31
Passing Yards / Game
18
8
Rushing Yards / Game
26
31
EPA
EPA / Play
15
25
EPA / Pass
9
31
EPA / Rush
29
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
17
Interceptions / Game
5
20
Fumbles / Game
18
27
Turnover EPA / Game
26
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
23
4th Down Efficiency
8
30
RZ Efficiency
28
8
Texans Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
1
Yards / Game
31
7
Passing Yards / Game
24
27
Rushing Yards / Game
23
3
EPA
EPA / Play
26
2
EPA / Pass
23
3
EPA / Rush
16
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
25
Interceptions / Game
17
1
Fumbles / Game
9
22
Turnover EPA / Game
20
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
8
4th Down Efficiency
3
6
RZ Efficiency
3
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
8-2
SU
9-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U