NEPatriots
8-5
7
TBD
Nissan Stadium
57°F
3 mph
24
TENTitans
8-5
TBD
Nissan Stadium
57°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
0
0
7
0
7
Titans
0
14
1
3
18
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
176
365
Total Plays
47
74
Yards / Play
3.7
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.21
+0.08
Passing Yards
120
127
Comp/Att
15/31(48%)
11/24(46%)
Yards / Pass
3.9
5.3
EPA / Pass
-0.45
+0.12
Rushing Yards
56
238
Rush Attempts
13
48
Yards / Rush
4.3
5.0
EPA / Rush
-0.14
+0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
20
Passing 1st downs
7
6
Rushing 1st downs
2
13
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
18%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
2
8
3rd Down Attempts
11
18
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-6.36
+1.79
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-17
-9
Sack EPA
-4.39
-2.39
Penalties
2
9
Penalty Yards
15
80
Penalty EPA
-1.54
-8.04
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
16
Yards / Game
22
11
Passing Yards / Game
21
26
Rushing Yards / Game
28
2
EPA
EPA / Play
10
18
EPA / Pass
18
22
EPA / Rush
16
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
31
Interceptions / Game
9
18
Fumbles / Game
5
25
Turnover EPA / Game
26
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
12
4th Down Efficiency
20
15
RZ Efficiency
16
24
Titans Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
15
Yards / Game
16
23
Passing Yards / Game
16
7
Rushing Yards / Game
11
31
EPA
EPA / Play
14
19
EPA / Pass
5
8
EPA / Rush
15
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
23
Interceptions / Game
16
12
Fumbles / Game
18
12
Turnover EPA / Game
22
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
26
4th Down Efficiency
15
27
RZ Efficiency
5
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Titans
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U