NEPatriots
11-4
40
TBD
Nissan Stadium
63°F
13 mph
23
TENTitans
8-7
TBD
Nissan Stadium
63°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
9
10
7
14
40
Titans
3
1
13
0
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
414
342
Total Plays
61
66
Yards / Play
6.8
5.2
EPA / Play
+0.20
-0.16
Passing Yards
243
207
Comp/Att
17/28(61%)
15/36(42%)
Yards / Pass
8.7
5.8
EPA / Pass
+0.38
-0.37
Rushing Yards
171
135
Rush Attempts
31
25
Yards / Rush
5.5
5.4
EPA / Rush
+0.18
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
17
Passing 1st downs
8
9
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
3
4
3rd Down %
36%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
6
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-7.91
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-11
-20
Sack EPA
-2.30
-9.58
Penalties
9
10
Penalty Yards
129
119
Penalty EPA
-11.98
-11.38
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
31
Yards / Game
11
32
Passing Yards / Game
16
3
Rushing Yards / Game
14
30
EPA
EPA / Play
4
29
EPA / Pass
6
27
EPA / Rush
11
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
23
Interceptions / Game
10
15
Fumbles / Game
25
22
Turnover EPA / Game
27
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
20
4th Down Efficiency
1
26
RZ Efficiency
3
30
Titans Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
2
Yards / Game
27
10
Passing Yards / Game
28
30
Rushing Yards / Game
5
5
EPA
EPA / Play
18
6
EPA / Pass
28
5
EPA / Rush
7
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
24
Interceptions / Game
23
4
Fumbles / Game
5
12
Turnover EPA / Game
17
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
10
4th Down Efficiency
22
2
RZ Efficiency
27
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Titans
8-2
SU
9-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U