OAKRaiders
3-7
10
TBD
Paycor Stadium
41°F
9 mph
34
CINBengals
5-5
TBD
Paycor Stadium
41°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
0
10
0
10
Bengals
14
10
0
10
34
Spread
-7.5
Total
UNDER
50.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
218
415
Total Plays
61
66
Yards / Play
3.6
6.3
EPA / Play
-0.22
+0.16
Passing Yards
119
194
Comp/Att
19/34(56%)
16/30(53%)
Yards / Pass
3.5
6.5
EPA / Pass
-0.49
+0.16
Rushing Yards
99
221
Rush Attempts
23
34
Yards / Rush
4.3
6.5
EPA / Rush
-0.03
+0.27
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
18
Passing 1st downs
8
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
10
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
25%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
3
9
3rd Down Attempts
12
17
Red Zone %
NaN%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
--
4
Red Zone Attempts
--
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.21
--
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-27
-16
Sack EPA
-8.85
-3.91
Penalties
3
3
Penalty Yards
--
25
Penalty EPA
--
-2.97
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CINBengalsFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.5
Model
-8.5
Win Probability
Market74.4%
Model76.6%
Spread Pick
Bengals-7.5
Expected Value
+2.3%
Cover Probability
53.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+239
Home nfelo
1,494
Away nfelo
1,383
Home Field
+117.8
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
+10.0
Home QB Adjustment
+17.2
Away QB Adjustment
+7.2
Market Regression
+2.4
Final Difference
205.7
Model Spread
-8.5
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+7.2
A. Dalton
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
+17.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
8
Yards / Game
18
8
Passing Yards / Game
14
8
Rushing Yards / Game
29
14
EPA
EPA / Play
23
4
EPA / Pass
19
3
EPA / Rush
31
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
7
Interceptions / Game
18
17
Fumbles / Game
16
4
Turnover EPA / Game
15
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
10
4th Down Efficiency
31
7
RZ Efficiency
28
5
Bengals Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
28
Yards / Game
23
17
Passing Yards / Game
22
6
Rushing Yards / Game
18
17
EPA
EPA / Play
17
32
EPA / Pass
23
30
EPA / Rush
8
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
25
Interceptions / Game
18
23
Fumbles / Game
18
22
Turnover EPA / Game
19
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
18
4th Down Efficiency
3
24
RZ Efficiency
18
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U
Bengals
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U