OAKRaiders
-
23
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
75°F
6 mph
20
DENBroncos
-
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
75°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
16
0
7
23
Broncos
3
0
4
7
14
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
289
310
Total Plays
62
64
Yards / Play
4.7
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.07
-0.16
Passing Yards
99
272
Comp/Att
13/22(59%)
24/46(52%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
5.9
EPA / Pass
-0.31
-0.05
Rushing Yards
190
38
Rush Attempts
39
13
Yards / Rush
4.9
2.9
EPA / Rush
+0.16
-0.49
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
25
Passing 1st downs
7
17
Rushing 1st downs
10
2
Penalty 1st downs
3
6
3rd Down %
36%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-4.40
-11.45
Sacks
1
5
Sack Yards
-6
-32
Sack EPA
-1.39
-10.11
Penalties
15
10
Penalty Yards
131
91
Penalty EPA
-13.18
-8.64
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-3.0
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model52.7%
Spread Pick
Raiders+3.0
Expected Value
+8.4%
Cover Probability
53.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-20
Home nfelo
1,426
Away nfelo
1,463
Home Field
+23.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-6.7
Home QB Adjustment
-5.1
Away QB Adjustment
+1.6
Market Regression
+18.5
Final Difference
18.5
Model Spread
-1.5
Quarterbacks
J. Campbell
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+1.6
K. Orton
Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
-5.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
26
Yards / Game
9
23
Passing Yards / Game
26
24
Rushing Yards / Game
6
23
EPA
EPA / Play
10
22
EPA / Pass
13
24
EPA / Rush
8
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
11
Interceptions / Game
27
27
Fumbles / Game
6
22
Turnover EPA / Game
11
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
8
4th Down Efficiency
8
6
RZ Efficiency
23
19
Broncos Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
29
Yards / Game
20
29
Passing Yards / Game
32
16
Rushing Yards / Game
1
27
EPA
EPA / Play
23
30
EPA / Pass
27
25
EPA / Rush
10
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
30
Interceptions / Game
5
10
Fumbles / Game
32
26
Turnover EPA / Game
9
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
25
4th Down Efficiency
28
5
RZ Efficiency
26
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Broncos
2-8
SU
3-6-1
ATS
6-4
O/U