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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. raiders @ broncos week 3, 2003

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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OAK logo
OAKRaiders
1-1
10
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
72°F
7 mph
31
DENBroncos
2-0
DEN logo
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
72°F
7 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
0
7
3
10
Broncos
21
3
7
0
31

Game Statistics

General
Raiders logo
Broncos logo
Total Yards
195
383
Total Plays
56
62
Yards / Play
3.5
6.2
EPA / Play
-0.27
-0.02
Passing Yards
156
193
Comp/Att
17/35(49%)
14/21(67%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
9.2
EPA / Pass
-0.33
+0.59
Rushing Yards
39
190
Rush Attempts
16
39
Yards / Rush
2.4
4.9
EPA / Rush
-0.19
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
Raiders logo
Broncos logo
1st Downs
11
20
Passing 1st downs
7
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
27%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
33%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Raiders logo
Broncos logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-3.40
-3.26
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-28
-4
Sack EPA
-5.51
-2.67
Penalties
13
6
Penalty Yards
98
35
Penalty EPA
-5.18
-3.15

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
OAK logo
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Raiders Offense vs Broncos Defense
Raiders logo
Broncos logo

Total

Points / Game
26
12
Yards / Game
25
5
Passing Yards / Game
25
3
Rushing Yards / Game
16
6

EPA

EPA / Play
20
14
EPA / Pass
28
15
EPA / Rush
10
12

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
5
27
Interceptions / Game
9
32
Fumbles / Game
16
13
Turnover EPA / Game
30
1

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
31
4
4th Down Efficiency
7
18
RZ Efficiency
26
6
Broncos Offense vs Raiders Defense
Broncos logo
Raiders logo

Total

Points / Game
10
25
Yards / Game
7
30
Passing Yards / Game
31
13
Rushing Yards / Game
1
32

EPA

EPA / Play
10
27
EPA / Pass
15
24
EPA / Rush
3
26

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
13
4
Interceptions / Game
20
20
Fumbles / Game
2
14
Turnover EPA / Game
22
9

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
12
13
4th Down Efficiency
28
24
RZ Efficiency
7
25

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

OAK logo

Raiders

7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/02
6
W
P
P
12/08
20
W
W
P
12/15
-6
L
L
P
12/22
12
W
W
P
12/28
24
W
W
P
01/12
20
W
W
P
01/19
17
W
W
P
01/26
-27
L
L
P
09/07
-5
L
L
P
09/14
3
W
L
P
DEN logo

Broncos

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/11
-24
L
L
P
11/17
22
W
W
P
11/24
-3
L
L
P
12/01
-3
L
L
P
12/08
-6
L
L
P
12/15
7
W
W
P
12/22
-12
L
L
P
12/29
30
W
W
P
09/07
20
W
W
P
09/14
24
W
W
P