OAKRaiders
2-1
10
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
72°F
7 mph
16
DENBroncos
2-1
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
72°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
7
0
3
10
Broncos
10
0
6
0
16
Spread
-3.5
Total
UNDER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
254
298
Total Plays
53
62
Yards / Play
4.8
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.24
-0.10
Passing Yards
230
155
Comp/Att
21/35(60%)
16/26(62%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
6.0
EPA / Pass
-0.06
+0.04
Rushing Yards
24
143
Rush Attempts
15
32
Yards / Rush
1.6
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.77
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
16
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
1
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
17%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
2
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
16
Red Zone %
NaN%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
--
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-1.98
--
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-19
-24
Sack EPA
-4.97
-5.27
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
75
40
Penalty EPA
-9.26
-6.10
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model54.6%
Spread Pick
Raiders+3.5
Expected Value
+13.2%
Cover Probability
59.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-13
Home nfelo
1,508
Away nfelo
1,549
Home Field
+31.4
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
-25.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-3.4
Home QB Adjustment
+1.1
Away QB Adjustment
+4.5
Market Regression
+18.8
Final Difference
32.4
Model Spread
-2.0
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+4.5
T. Siemian
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+1.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
22
Yards / Game
18
1
Passing Yards / Game
30
10
Rushing Yards / Game
25
5
EPA
EPA / Play
15
9
EPA / Pass
16
16
EPA / Rush
22
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
3
Interceptions / Game
20
25
Fumbles / Game
31
14
Turnover EPA / Game
13
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
2
4th Down Efficiency
27
7
RZ Efficiency
8
25
Broncos Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
20
Yards / Game
18
24
Passing Yards / Game
19
23
Rushing Yards / Game
12
11
EPA
EPA / Play
29
31
EPA / Pass
31
31
EPA / Rush
16
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
30
Interceptions / Game
31
32
Fumbles / Game
23
18
Turnover EPA / Game
2
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
25
4th Down Efficiency
26
30
RZ Efficiency
32
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Broncos
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U