OAKRaiders
2-4
59
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
63°F
9 mph
14
DENBroncos
2-4
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
63°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
18
14
21
0
53
Broncos
0
7
7
0
14
Spread
+7
Total
OVER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
508
240
Total Plays
74
50
Yards / Play
6.9
4.8
EPA / Play
+0.42
-0.45
Passing Yards
180
165
Comp/Att
12/20(60%)
12/29(41%)
Yards / Pass
9.0
5.7
EPA / Pass
+0.65
-0.60
Rushing Yards
328
75
Rush Attempts
52
17
Yards / Rush
6.3
4.4
EPA / Rush
+0.35
-0.52
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
29
11
Passing 1st downs
9
7
Rushing 1st downs
18
2
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
46%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
6
2
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
83%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
5
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-17.66
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-24
-33
Sack EPA
-4.14
-6.22
Penalties
10
5
Penalty Yards
94
64
Penalty EPA
-7.55
-6.04
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
-8.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model70.4%
Spread Pick
Raiders+7.0
Expected Value
+3.4%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+117
Home nfelo
1,434
Away nfelo
1,372
Home Field
+34.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+20.2
Home QB Adjustment
+21.0
Away QB Adjustment
+0.8
Market Regression
-25.1
Final Difference
150.5
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
J. Campbell
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+0.8
K. Orton
Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
+21.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
32
Yards / Game
10
32
Passing Yards / Game
18
4
Rushing Yards / Game
2
31
EPA
EPA / Play
11
31
EPA / Pass
22
30
EPA / Rush
5
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
10
Interceptions / Game
16
31
Fumbles / Game
22
22
Turnover EPA / Game
26
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
16
4th Down Efficiency
22
27
RZ Efficiency
18
26
Broncos Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
20
Yards / Game
11
11
Passing Yards / Game
5
9
Rushing Yards / Game
26
29
EPA
EPA / Play
17
19
EPA / Pass
12
11
EPA / Rush
30
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
6
Interceptions / Game
7
26
Fumbles / Game
26
22
Turnover EPA / Game
16
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
6
4th Down Efficiency
30
2
RZ Efficiency
13
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Broncos
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
8-2
O/U