OAKRaiders
2-7
22
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
49°F
11 mph
16
DENBroncos
3-6
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
49°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Raiders
0
7
3
6
6
22
Broncos
7
3
0
6
0
16
Spread
+2.5
Total
UNDER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
407
320
Total Plays
62
62
Yards / Play
6.6
5.2
EPA / Play
+0.10
+0.00
Passing Yards
298
226
Comp/Att
23/37(62%)
24/31(77%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
7.3
EPA / Pass
+0.19
+0.05
Rushing Yards
109
94
Rush Attempts
24
28
Yards / Rush
4.5
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.03
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
19
Passing 1st downs
10
11
Rushing 1st downs
8
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
27%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
3
3
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-9
-21
Sack EPA
-1.21
-5.91
Penalties
9
5
Penalty Yards
98
45
Penalty EPA
-11.10
-6.94
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-2.5
Model
-0.5
Win Probability
Market56.1%
Model50.7%
Spread Pick
Raiders+2.5
Expected Value
+2.6%
Cover Probability
53.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-26
Home nfelo
1,463
Away nfelo
1,505
Home Field
+29.0
Base HFA
+39.8
Divisional Adj
-17.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+7.1
Net QB Adjustment
-12.3
Home QB Adjustment
-18.3
Away QB Adjustment
-6.0
Market Regression
-9.7
Final Difference
4.9
Model Spread
-0.5
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
-6.0
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-18.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
12
Yards / Game
12
8
Passing Yards / Game
15
9
Rushing Yards / Game
17
10
EPA
EPA / Play
13
13
EPA / Pass
14
7
EPA / Rush
13
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
1
Interceptions / Game
28
11
Fumbles / Game
1
20
Turnover EPA / Game
8
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
2
4th Down Efficiency
9
30
RZ Efficiency
26
8
Broncos Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
26
Yards / Game
21
27
Passing Yards / Game
9
5
Rushing Yards / Game
21
19
EPA
EPA / Play
28
25
EPA / Pass
29
30
EPA / Rush
27
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
25
Interceptions / Game
22
31
Fumbles / Game
11
25
Turnover EPA / Game
12
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
25
4th Down Efficiency
16
20
RZ Efficiency
14
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U
Broncos
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
2-8
O/U