OAKRaiders
6-7
16
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
40°F
8 mph
14
CLEBrowns
7-6
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
40°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
7
3
0
6
16
Browns
0
0
7
7
14
Spread
+2.5
Total
UNDER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
328
236
Total Plays
65
54
Yards / Play
5.0
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.11
Passing Yards
230
--
Comp/Att
25/38(66%)
20/30(67%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
--
EPA / Pass
-0.01
+0.07
Rushing Yards
98
89
Rush Attempts
25
24
Yards / Rush
3.9
3.7
EPA / Rush
+0.02
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
13
Passing 1st downs
14
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
46%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-8.31
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-6
--
Sack EPA
-6.43
--
Penalties
7
3
Penalty Yards
64
61
Penalty EPA
-6.68
-5.86
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
+6.5
Current
-2.5
Model
+2.0
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model45.6%
Spread Pick
Browns+2.5
Expected Value
+7.7%
Cover Probability
56.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+112
Home nfelo
1,553
Away nfelo
1,442
Home Field
+17.2
Base HFA
+37.1
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-19.9
Net QB Adjustment
-16.3
Home QB Adjustment
-20.4
Away QB Adjustment
-4.1
Market Regression
-116.2
Final Difference
30.4
Model Spread
-2.0
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
-4.1
N. Mullens
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-20.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
14
Yards / Game
8
3
Passing Yards / Game
2
8
Rushing Yards / Game
28
11
EPA
EPA / Play
19
21
EPA / Pass
15
11
EPA / Rush
28
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
6
Interceptions / Game
17
17
Fumbles / Game
32
30
Turnover EPA / Game
11
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
14
4th Down Efficiency
7
27
RZ Efficiency
29
28
Browns Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
26
Yards / Game
18
14
Passing Yards / Game
28
11
Rushing Yards / Game
4
15
EPA
EPA / Play
20
28
EPA / Pass
22
28
EPA / Rush
4
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
11
Interceptions / Game
14
32
Fumbles / Game
20
26
Turnover EPA / Game
21
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
16
4th Down Efficiency
30
32
RZ Efficiency
12
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U
Browns
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U