OAKRaiders
5-2
30
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
86°F
15 mph
24
TBBuccaneers
3-3
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
86°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Raiders
0
3
14
7
6
30
Buccaneers
3
7
0
14
0
24
Spread
+0
Total
OVER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
626
272
Total Plays
85
62
Yards / Play
7.4
4.4
EPA / Play
+0.13
+0.03
Passing Yards
498
170
Comp/Att
40/59(68%)
16/33(48%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
5.2
EPA / Pass
+0.25
+0.03
Rushing Yards
128
102
Rush Attempts
24
27
Yards / Rush
5.3
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.05
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
18
Passing 1st downs
19
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
6
3rd Down %
39%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
18
13
Red Zone %
67%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.39
--
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-15
-12
Sack EPA
-5.46
-2.73
Penalties
23
6
Penalty Yards
200
64
Penalty EPA
-20.13
-12.06
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
Market50.0%
Model50.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+1
Home nfelo
1,441
Away nfelo
1,513
Home Field
+87.8
Base HFA
+57.1
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+30.7
Net QB Adjustment
-15.0
Home QB Adjustment
-0.5
Away QB Adjustment
+14.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+14.5
J. Winston
Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
-0.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
15
Yards / Game
10
22
Passing Yards / Game
26
20
Rushing Yards / Game
6
22
EPA
EPA / Play
15
12
EPA / Pass
17
10
EPA / Rush
17
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
16
Interceptions / Game
9
4
Fumbles / Game
15
12
Turnover EPA / Game
26
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
1
4th Down Efficiency
20
31
RZ Efficiency
13
24
Buccaneers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
20
Yards / Game
18
24
Passing Yards / Game
13
19
Rushing Yards / Game
25
23
EPA
EPA / Play
18
14
EPA / Pass
9
21
EPA / Rush
28
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
31
Interceptions / Game
27
11
Fumbles / Game
25
7
Turnover EPA / Game
12
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
13
4th Down Efficiency
22
3
RZ Efficiency
21
26
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Buccaneers
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U