OAKRaiders
1-1
23
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
024
ARICardinals
1-1
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
13
7
0
3
23
Cardinals
10
7
7
0
24
Spread
+5.5
Total
OVER
38.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
364
227
Total Plays
70
54
Yards / Play
5.2
4.2
EPA / Play
+0.12
+0.12
Passing Yards
231
108
Comp/Att
17/34(50%)
12/26(46%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
4.2
EPA / Pass
+0.01
-0.24
Rushing Yards
133
119
Rush Attempts
33
26
Yards / Rush
4.0
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.15
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
18
Passing 1st downs
12
7
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
4
4
3rd Down %
27%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
20%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
+9.50
-2.88
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-24
-14
Sack EPA
-4.59
-3.30
Penalties
11
7
Penalty Yards
123
104
Penalty EPA
-11.10
-10.82
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-5.5
Model
-8.0
Win Probability
Market68.0%
Model75.3%
Spread Pick
Cardinals-5.5
Expected Value
+21.2%
Cover Probability
63.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+244
Home nfelo
1,500
Away nfelo
1,324
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+5.0
Home QB Adjustment
-42.2
Away QB Adjustment
-47.2
Market Regression
+17.9
Final Difference
193.4
Model Spread
-8.0
Quarterbacks
B. Gradkowski
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
-47.2
D. Anderson
Proj. Value
-3.3
Team Elo Adj
-42.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
30
Yards / Game
10
28
Passing Yards / Game
18
27
Rushing Yards / Game
2
30
EPA
EPA / Play
11
14
EPA / Pass
22
19
EPA / Rush
5
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
2
Interceptions / Game
16
11
Fumbles / Game
22
2
Turnover EPA / Game
26
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
11
4th Down Efficiency
22
21
RZ Efficiency
18
1
Cardinals Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
20
Yards / Game
31
11
Passing Yards / Game
22
9
Rushing Yards / Game
32
29
EPA
EPA / Play
31
19
EPA / Pass
31
11
EPA / Rush
25
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
6
Interceptions / Game
21
26
Fumbles / Game
22
22
Turnover EPA / Game
5
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
6
4th Down Efficiency
24
2
RZ Efficiency
29
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Cardinals
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U