OAKRaiders
-
10
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
022
LACChargers
-
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
7
0
0
3
10
Chargers
3
3
3
13
22
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
296
316
Total Plays
59
55
Yards / Play
5.0
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.39
-0.17
Passing Yards
225
140
Comp/Att
25/33(76%)
17/26(65%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
5.4
EPA / Pass
-0.04
-0.19
Rushing Yards
71
176
Rush Attempts
22
28
Yards / Rush
3.2
6.3
EPA / Rush
-0.84
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
11
Passing 1st downs
12
6
Rushing 1st downs
1
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
36%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-15.86
--
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-32
-4
Sack EPA
-11.36
-2.45
Penalties
2
7
Penalty Yards
15
50
Penalty EPA
-1.24
-5.84
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+27
Home nfelo
1,471
Away nfelo
1,486
Home Field
+41.7
Base HFA
+46.4
Divisional Adj
-20.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+16.2
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+0.0
Home QB Adjustment
-1.2
Away QB Adjustment
-1.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
G. Minshew
Proj. Value
-1.6
Team Elo Adj
-1.2
J. Herbert
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-1.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
2
Yards / Game
27
11
Passing Yards / Game
9
18
Rushing Yards / Game
32
14
EPA
EPA / Play
31
4
EPA / Pass
24
4
EPA / Rush
32
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
14
Interceptions / Game
26
7
Fumbles / Game
29
13
Turnover EPA / Game
3
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
4
4th Down Efficiency
16
25
RZ Efficiency
26
2
Chargers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
25
Yards / Game
20
12
Passing Yards / Game
16
27
Rushing Yards / Game
20
12
EPA
EPA / Play
13
12
EPA / Pass
14
26
EPA / Rush
19
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
9
Interceptions / Game
5
22
Fumbles / Game
3
31
Turnover EPA / Game
29
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
17
4th Down Efficiency
13
31
RZ Efficiency
18
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
5-5
SU
7-2-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Chargers
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U